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The wild card here is energy prices no? A lot of grumpiness from the general public is from gas prices - the stuff they see every day.

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The inflation in goods of first necessity can crush consumer spending. Think the inflation caused by FX weakness or by elevated energy prices. It happened in many economies going through a crisis. Asset prices deflate, discretionary goods deflate. But the inflation is very palpable then. The salaries follow, under political pressure. Sometimes the sequence of events flips. :)

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