But is that really true for most banks nowadays? Every bank loan I've gotten has been floating rate. So the interest income to the banks rose right along with the Fed funds rate, and the change in market value of the loan was unrelated to the rise in long-term rates.
Not a banking expert but why do banks allow accounts to exceed the FDIC maximum? Why not create multiple accounts. Everyone's insured and these panic situations are less likely to occur. Seems pretty simple but what do I know?
Thank you for using your expertise to find and present relevant facts and background in a balanced, coherent discussion. As you do in the penultimate section, one questions what (if anything) the situation at First Republic and other data reveal about the US banking sector and economy more broadly.
Great article, Joey. Banks were very spoiled in the past. Even with inverted yield curves they were able to create their own artificial steep yield curves by offering almost nothing for depositors and lending/investing at the higher longer term market rates. As you said, the depositors have woken up and this is and will be a huge challenge to their business model going forward.
Terrific review of banks, banking business and how easily things can roll off of a cliff. Thanks Joseph for wonderful insight into this.
The only question is what will be the next domino.
Well done and great work on the charts. Subbed. Dovetails nicely with this: https://open.substack.com/pub/tradestreet/p/is-the-dollar-doomed-part-1?r=2cgxwn&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
Great review of the banking business. I loved the article!
If the Fed takes over FRC, SHOULD they raise rates on Wednesday?
Excellent analysis! Update: JPMorgan bought First Republic Bank!
Back in 2016 I interviewed w/ First Republic Private Wealth Management at their SF office.
I remember the interviewer was *very interested* in where I was going to live… (Coming from Sacramento)
My response? “I hope you would pay me enough to afford to live in the city”
Didn’t get the job…
Borrow short, lend long.
But is that really true for most banks nowadays? Every bank loan I've gotten has been floating rate. So the interest income to the banks rose right along with the Fed funds rate, and the change in market value of the loan was unrelated to the rise in long-term rates.
Not a banking expert but why do banks allow accounts to exceed the FDIC maximum? Why not create multiple accounts. Everyone's insured and these panic situations are less likely to occur. Seems pretty simple but what do I know?
Thank you for using your expertise to find and present relevant facts and background in a balanced, coherent discussion. As you do in the penultimate section, one questions what (if anything) the situation at First Republic and other data reveal about the US banking sector and economy more broadly.
After its earnings report, it was 100% dead bank walking.
Great article, Joey. Banks were very spoiled in the past. Even with inverted yield curves they were able to create their own artificial steep yield curves by offering almost nothing for depositors and lending/investing at the higher longer term market rates. As you said, the depositors have woken up and this is and will be a huge challenge to their business model going forward.
I suppose we will see capital controls on interbank money movements soon.
And right on time....