18 Comments
User's avatar
francisco's avatar

Wow just want to say this is extremely well written and explained, given the (lack) of data that we have. This comment section is usually a bit more nuanced and informed, and I'm bummed for Joey that the commenters feel the need to respond to this substantive research in this way. Please keep up the well informed, nuanced and accurate reporting.

Rolyn Trotter's avatar

Hey Joey just want to give you _one_ positive comment. I like the red letters on the charts you say are misleading. <3 that's good Internet

Russ's avatar

Paul Krugman is right. People should be reading your posts. Nice job.

Peter d's avatar

Thank you for digging deep into the methodolgy used in the noted surveys, while I have seen this in commentary before, you have done an excellent job describing the methodolgy that can be very difficult to fully understand. And yes, there are a lot of assumptions in the methods used that may hold up in slow-moving times, but fall apart when change hits.

Simon Stern's avatar

As a Canadian, I am laughing that you are using us as a good example of thorough documentation and process. Its not like that at all. This piece starts at a conclusion and works backwards, quite opposite from the data-driven articles I was enjoying. Unfollowed!

Kevin in WI's avatar

The KKK today? What century are you living in?

BALWINDER SINGH's avatar

KKK is white supremacy. Politics of Trump and company with all its twists is about white supremacy. Even their talk of Christian Nationalism does not include Blacks and Latinos who are all Christians. It is like 'Hindu Nationalism' in India which is a code word for strengthening submission of the 'lower castes'.

Kevin in WI's avatar

Yeah, don’t project your 4000 year old caste system onto the US. Not the same.

aharon levy's avatar

If this is in response to my comment above, the discerning reader will note that I wrote "to the KKK to today" not "to the KKK today."

Kristoffer O’Shaugnessy's avatar

Hope more third world aliens leave. We need to cut legal immigration down severely. Corporations and exploitive business interests will have to pay Americans a living wage instead. Cry harder ‘business-friendly’ shills.

Andy Fately's avatar

It strikes me that the fraud story from Minnesota today, where Somali immigrants were systematically stealing >$1 billion of taxpayer funds is a critical reason as to why there is concern over immigrants and their activities. That doesn't seem to be helping the national fiscal situation, and I expect that it is not an isolated instance.

aharon levy's avatar

Alternately, look at the toxic nativism that has run through American politics for nearly two centuries, from the Know-Nothings to the KKK to today.

Buddy's avatar

I don't see why you would want to draw conclusions a few months into it unless you have some agenda or TDS. Take a seat and enjoy the show. Only three more years to go.

Swami's avatar

If twenty percent of workers are immigrants, then I have a solution for SS and Medicare. Just triple the rates for non-US citizens. Hold employers accountable for paying the higher rates for any employee without proof of citizenship.

This solves the problem of funding these programs, makes hiring citizens more advantageous, and makes immigrants part of the solution rather than the problem.

Ankush Jain's avatar

This is a reminder that in crises, the story comes first and the data is used later. When measurement fails, institutions fill the gap with narrative, and the same numbers can be made to signal opposite conclusions.

Eduardo Porter's avatar

That’s smart. Next, everybody should go buy a MAGA hat. Ideological camouflage

hn.cbp's avatar

What this piece makes clear is not just a data failure, but a profound agency failure.

We tend to frame immigration as a variable we've temporarily lost sight of, with the comforting assumption that once better data arrives, policy will naturally “snap back” into rational alignment. But the deeper issue is structural: large-scale decisions—mass deportations, status stripping, labor reallocation—are being executed without any stable locus of responsibility or meaningful feedback loop, even as the state openly admits it no longer knows the true size, composition, or flows of the workforce it is acting upon.

In this context, immigration functions less like a simple labor-market input and more like critical infrastructure for economic diffusion and worker mobility. When that infrastructure is disrupted blindly—through opaque enforcement, TPS terminations, H-1B restrictions, and interior crackdowns—the result is not merely mismeasurement. It is a systemic collapse of hiring capacity, particularly for small and medium enterprises and entry-level workers, that manifests later as the “no-hire economy” we are now observing.

The real danger isn’t only that we are flying blind on immigration data. It is that we are governing a labor market whose core mechanisms—mobility, diffusion, absorptive capacity—are being fundamentally altered without any point where lived experience, empirical reality, or accountability can interrupt the decision loop. Without such interruption, the blind execution hardens into a stable, self-reinforcing equilibrium where agency, capacity, and opportunity thin out at once.

Prof Dave White's avatar

Not True. Deportations are for 12 million criminals from Jails Biden let in. ICE is finding them and deporting them Ice knows exactly who they deported.

Judge John J. McConnell has zero jurisdiction to make a nationwide ruling on snap. The Supreme Court already ruled on illegal nationwide injunctions they are illegal also.

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/judicial-bias-against-litigants-in-dam-removal-cases/

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/epc-cant-regulate-greenhouse-gases/

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/dei-is-illegal/

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/loper-bright-enterprises/

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/sample-page/unethical-judge-bailey/ in default since 10/17/2025

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/us-supreme-court-in-24a1079/ Judges can only issue injunctions in their district not nationwide

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/cities-cant-be-sanctuary-cities-anymore/

25A264 (25-332) https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/25a264_o759.pdf Executive powers of Article two of the U. S Constitution belong to one person the President of the United States.

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/absolute-judicial-immunity-is-a-myth/

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/writs-in-u-s-supreme-court/ 4 in default and four distributed for conference.

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/antifa-as-a-terrorist-group/

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/devillier-vs-texas-docket-22-913/

All courts must be article III of the US Constitution.

Chevron doctrine is illegal Agencies like FERC and EPA cant cherry pick data for their false agenda.

Stare decisis must be vertical to the Constitution, not horizontal. This is because any other case can’t be guaranteed to have enough similarities to warrant use unless the Judge and counsel on both sides have read case transcripts, exhibits and final ruling.

https://thelawisyourattorney.com/treason-is-18-usc-115/