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The Housing Credit Crunch
How the US Housing Market is Surviving the Rapid Increase in Mortgage Rates Over the Last Year
May 31
•
Joseph Politano
23
8
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The Housing Credit Crunch
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Americans' Excess Savings Are Mostly Spent
The Trillions of Extra Dollars Americans Saved During the Early Pandemic Have Been Spent Down Rapidly in the Last Year
May 28
•
Joseph Politano
59
13
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Americans' Excess Savings Are Mostly Spent
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A Softer Landing on a Longer Runway?
Real Growth is Positive, but Weak—While Inflation is Slowly Decelerating. Can the US Actually Avoid a Recession?
May 20
•
Joseph Politano
55
9
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A Softer Landing on a Longer Runway?
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Car Inflation is Back—Don't Panic!
Volatile Used Vehicle Prices are Rising Again—But this is Likely Temporary as the Chip Shortage is Alleviating and Underlying Supply Conditions are…
May 17
•
Joseph Politano
22
2
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Car Inflation is Back—Don't Panic!
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Core Inflation is (Finally) Cooling
Tighter Monetary Policy is Now Slowing the Underlying Cyclical Components of Inflation
May 13
•
Joseph Politano
59
7
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Core Inflation is (Finally) Cooling
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The Risks Still Lurking in the Banking System
2023 Has Seen the Largest Banking Failures Since the Great Recession—and Markets are Still Pricing in Significant Failure Risks for More Banks
May 8
•
Joseph Politano
54
5
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The Risks Still Lurking in the Banking System
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April 2023
The Death of First Republic?
Rumors of an Imminent FDIC Takeover Circle America's 14th-largest Bank. Can it Survive?
Apr 29
•
Joseph Politano
74
18
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The Death of First Republic?
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Notes
America's Industrial Transition
US Manufacturing is Slowing—Excluding the Record Spending on Semiconductor Fabricators and Tech Manufacturing Plants
Apr 26
•
Joseph Politano
34
2
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America's Industrial Transition
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Did the Energy Crisis Accelerate The Energy Transition?
Maybe—But it Also Forced Nations to Use More of Some of the Dirtiest Fossil Fuels and Harmed the Kind of International Cooperation Necessary to Fight…
Apr 23
•
Joseph Politano
48
4
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Did the Energy Crisis Accelerate The Energy Transition?
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The Disinflationary Process Continues
Headline US Inflation Keeps Cooling Down, and Core Inflation is Finally Showing Some Positive Signs
Apr 15
•
Joseph Politano
112
16
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The Disinflationary Process Continues
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Germany's Slowdown
How the Energy Crisis, a Manufacturing Crunch, and More is Causing Germany's Economy to Fall Behind
Apr 12
•
Joseph Politano
23
2
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Germany's Slowdown
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A Historic Labor Market Recovery
American Employment Rates Have Fully Recovered From the Pandemic—But We Shouldn't Stop Here
Apr 9
•
Joseph Politano
72
4
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A Historic Labor Market Recovery
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